Russian election 2018: why Navalny with 2% support & a criminal conviction is the West’s ‘only’ opposition to Putin

March 2018 will almost certainly see Vladimir Putin re-elected to the presidency of the Russian Federation. His overwhelming popularity will pretty much guarantee this outcome. But this is not the story being told in the Western media.

Alexei Navalny aka the “firebrand bidding for Russia’s soul”


Even though Vladimir Putin’s ascendancy in the polls has been verified by Western pollsters, and even though a few more level-headed Western outlets feel obliged to admit he would likely win a free and fair election with ease, the majority of the mainstream media have taken the launch of the presidential campaign as a cue to almost entirely bury even these basic facts, and instead to focus on claims that the ‘only real opposition‘ in Russia has been banned from challenging Putin due to flagrant political censorship.
By ‘only real’ opposition they mean Alexei Anatolievich Navalny, lawyer, ‘activist’, occcasional chum of neo-nazis with an awkward tendency to compare racial minorities to cockroaches, and founder of the Anti-Corruption Foundation, who is, ironically, currently serving a suspended sentence for fraud and embezzlement, and is, thereby, banned under the Russian Federation’s constitution from running for elected office.
In case it has passed you by, the western media love this guy. For them he is a mash up of Jesus and John Lennon spiced with a whiff of bad boy. They eat him up. And when high enough on his amazingness they celebrate him in rich prose:
For the UK Independent Navalny is “Putin’s biggest rival”. For the BBC he is “Russia’s vociferous opposition leader”. For Time he is Putin’s “Nemesis”. For Masha –facts only slow me down – Gessen in the New Yorker it is nothing short of miraculous that he is still alive, such a threat he poses to Putin. To the Guardian, abandoning all pretence and going straight for the “most heedless eulogy” award, he is a “firebrand bidding for Russia’s soul.”
Are they fazed by his aforementioned comparison of Moslems to cockroaches? Or the equally regrettable time he called Georgians “rodents”? Or is this another example of the way in which racism is now acceptable in liberal circles, providing it’s done by someone endorsed and sanctified as “ours”?
But let’s just put the far-right racism question to one side for now and deal with some hard facts. Whether you like him or loathe him, Navalny is not Putin’s ‘nemesis’, and probably isn’t a ‘firebrand bidding for Russia’s soul’ either (though since I’m not sure what that is I suppose we can’t rule it out completely). And he absolutely is not and never was the ‘only real opposition’.

Navalny – like that other (posthumous) hero Boris Nemtsov – is a peripheral figure in Russian domestic politics. Before he was ruled inadmissible for election “Putin’s biggest rival” was polling between 1-4% in opinion polls, which puts him on about the same level as the UK Green Party, which polled 1.6% in the last general election and has one seat in parliament, or UKIP, which polled 2.1% and has no seats at all.
For comparison, in the current line-up of candidates, the Communist Party polled 17% in the previous presidential election and the same in 2008. It’s current candidate, Pavel Nikolayevich Grudinin is running in early polls at between 5-7%. Not a huge percentage, but roughly twice Navalny’s level of support.
Yet the western media has not – so far as I know – celebrated Grudinin with any cool photo feature pieces yet. In fact I am pretty sure they behave as if this man and his party do not even exist.
In addition there are a further fifteen other ‘declared candidates’ currently running. These include a Green candidate, an alternative Communist candidate running as the ‘Communists of Russia’, a ‘Liberal-Democrat’ (Zhirinovsky) and a Monarchist. None of these have been banned or accused of crimes to facilitate shutting them down. All of them or quite a few of them – are pretty much as entitled as Navalny to be described as “Putin’s nemesis”, but again they are barely acknowledged to exist in the Western media.
Imagine an article which pretended Jeremy Corbyn, the SNP et al did not exist and described Caroline Lucas as ‘the only real opposition’ to the Tories. Or that libertarian Gary Johnson – who polled 3% in the last election – was the best hope against Trump.
That is how skewed the western representation of this election really is.
But why is this the favoured approach? Well, maybe it’s not as stupid as it first seems.
As the polls now stand anyone who runs against Putin will look to be easily, if not humiliatingly, defeated. The lowest estimate puts VVP at 54% and the highest at around 73% – way ahead of any rival. It’s obvious any candidate the West supports will just prove to be an embarrassment for them on election day as they nosedive into oblivion.
Navalny is different. Navalny – due to his handy conviction for fraud – will be spared the inevitable shame that his tiny share of the vote predicts. So, when all the other hopefuls are defeated, he can remain with credibility intact. A political martyr. A living testimony to the fact the Russian elections are a fraud. The 2% popular support can be airbrushed away (as can his association with nazis, his unfortunate cockroach comparisons and his general litany of bizarre behaviour). He can become a sheep-dipped western hero whom Putin censored through fear. Post-election he will be, in the West at least, the perfect rallying point for a cause, which will have many bland and virtue-signalling faces, but which will at core be about discrediting the Russian presidency as fundamentally corrupt and unrepresentative, and trying, once again, to plant the seeds of color revolution.
Navalny has already proclaimed his contempt for democracy and a willingness to support the overthrow of elected governments, which of course makes him exactly the kind of “anti-corruption” liberal we like to work with. Back in 2011 he had this to say in the Russian magazine New Times:

they can elect anyone they like in March of 2012, but by April it will all be over…I think power will change hands by undemocratic ways

Asked if he means the Tunisian or Libyan method he says:

Let’s say a Tunisian scenario

He then adds for clarification:

The current Russian authorities are thieves and crooks. We must fight them, pressure them, resist them… This resistance can take different forms – from dialogue to crowds hauling officials out of their offices and hanging them

Oh yes, this is someone MI6 and the State Department can do business with alright. Putin in an orange jumpsuit in the Hague or being slaughtered Gaddafi-style on a live TV feed has probably been a major fantasy in Western corridors of power for at least the last five years.
That Navalny is being groomed for his role is undeniable. Hence the strange concurrence of his racist and far-rightist proclamations with the kind of soft-spoken and ill-defined calls for ‘reform’ that go over well with Western media and poorly-informed liberals. In our media it’s his “anti-corruption”, not his racism, that is the story. Because “anti-corruption” is about as non-commitally ok as you can get. It’s about as meaningful as calling yourself “anti-nastiness.” So vague, so generic everyone will be in favour of it in theory, and in practice it can mean whatever you want it to mean.
We can be sure of course, as per Navalny’s own words, that part of the practice will involve fostering the seeds of Snow Revolution #2. Because Russia’s elections – just like Chile and Venezuela and Grenada and Ukraine and Iran and Guatemala and Syria et al – were “corrupt” and therefore don’t count.
Ironically, as Bryan MacDonald astutely points out, it would have been better for Putin, and distinctly worse for Navalny, if he had not been banned from running. Navalny’s conviction has done nothing to bolster Putin’s power base (at 50-80% it doesn’t need bolstering), and has played right into the hands of those who want to discredit the Russian electoral process. His elimination effectively means:

[he] will become a spoiler for the next six years, and represent an excuse for foreign criticism of the Russian electoral system. Which, like it or not, at a time where sanctions are being used as a weapon, gives external actors an excuse to punish Russia. We already have the dubious “Magnitsky list,” so is it really worth risking a “Navalny list” making things even worse?

So, why has Navalny been handed the keys to martyrdom by a state machine that had nothing to lose by letting him ride his 2% support all the way to the polls? Was it a political miscalculation? Is he an innocent (if racist and pro-violence) man being given a helping hand by a clumsily inept attempt at silencing him? Or is he guilty as charged and reaping the fortuitous benefit of a legal system that is simply doing its job? Or is there some other factor involved?
We think this election period is a good time to revisit these and related questions. Is Russia a “kleptocracy”? Does Putin murder journalists? Is he personally corrupt? Does he – as claimed even by Sibel Edmonds – have “billions’ stashed away in Cyprus or elsewhere? Good questions to which good fact-based answers are sometimes in short supply .

If anyone would like to submit an article on the Navalny case or issues related to the coming election email us through our submissions page, and please put “Russia 2018” as your subject line.


OffG co-founding editor. Writer. Opinionated polemicist.

Filed under: Catte, latest, Other Media, Putin Myth & Reality

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OffG co-founding editor. Writer. Opinionated polemicist.

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Matt
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Matt

It’s clear that the “anti-imperialists” here rely too much on nationalist Russian media. How else can one explain the evidence-free statements of this tweet by off-g:
https://twitter.com/OffGuardian0/status/957584670639747072
Repeating the baseless smear that Navalny is some foreign puppet, without presenting evidence, is nothing but base anti-Americanism, brought on by an appetite of pro-Kremlin propaganda.

Admin
Reader

The evidence is presented in this article – which the tweet links to. Even those who support him have never questioned he is almost exclusively supported and promoted by the West. He has never polled more than 3-4% of the popular vote in Russia.
Your pointless contrarianism and denial of universally accepted and easily proven facts is why many people dismiss you as a troll.

Franz
Reader
Franz

Great article Catte. What can I say? Credit where credit is due.
I hope that, having outlived his usefulness as a potential candidate for something-or- other, Navalny does not end up as a CIA ‘wet-job’ on some bridge in sight of Putin in the Kremlin.

Marcus
Reader
Marcus

Russia Insider has published this article WITHOUT attribution to OffG and with no link to the source. It gives the impression Catte authored it for RI. It also omits the final four paragraphs of the article
http://russia-insider.com/en/navalny-his-2-percent-support-only-russian-election-story-western-media-wants-tell/ri22254
Russia Feed has also picked it up, but they do credit the source.

kayaboosha
Reader
kayaboosha

They’ve put a link to Off Guardian at the bottom of the article now.

Admin
Reader

Yes. We are aware thanks.

Alan
Reader
Alan

So Russia interferes in western elections yet the western state press only ‘reports’ upon the Russian elections?????.

vierotchka
Reader

Of course not. At most, it is the other way round!

Eurasia News Online
Reader

And who cares what corrupt western media is saying? I mean what is credibility of that media in the rest of the world (or even on their own turf)? Dying western “civilization” can bark and bark and bark.

mohandeer
Reader

Reblogged this on Worldtruth.

Marcus
Reader
Marcus

Is there any evidence for Putin’s “billions”? I would really welcome a discussion of this on a good alt media site like this. If you research it all you find are stupid propagandist fact-free articles citing other stupid propagandist fact-free article, but yet even in pro-Putin pieces his ‘corruption’ tends to be accepted as fact – based on WHAT?
Is Putin actually corrupt? Simple question. Very hard to find an answer based on evidence.

vierotchka
Reader

There is no evidence whatsoever of “Putin’s billions”. I wish I had bookmarked an article I read a while ago by an American woman who has worked in Russia for many years in which she relates her personal experience with Putin when he was employed in the St Petersburg city hall. He was the person foreigners went to with their business projects. Apparently, he never accepted any kind of bribe and never asked for any, which for me indicates that he is incorruptible.

Laninya
Reader
Laninya

Her name is Sharon Tennison. She’s with the American Committee for East-West Accord. https://eastwestaccord.com/team-member/sharon-tennison/
She, and others who worked with Putin before he became Prime Minister and then President of the Russian Federation testify that he’s absolutely above board. Incorruptible.
I, too, did a deep search at one point to see if I could find anything about his wealth. Turns out all the estimates are counting Russian State properties, assets, and treasures as being his personal belongings. Plus, just images they’ve found on the interwebs that are happening inside Russia, like “Putin’s Palace”.

Kaya3
Reader
Kaya3

Yes I remember reading that, it was an excellent piece!

Admin
Reader

Here it is – we’ve decided to re-issue it today as being freshly relevant. Thanks for reminding us of its existence 🙂
https://offgraun.wordpress.com/2018/01/18/is-putin-incorruptible/

vierotchka
Reader

I just came across this excellent video that was uploaded to YouTube two days ago:
Rethinking Putin: A Talk by Professor Stephen F. Cohen

Manda
Reader
Manda

I am an admirer of Prof S. Cohen and whenever I see his name am always reminded of a discussion he had with Oksana Boyko on Stalin a couple of years ago. I found it amazing, moving and informative in many ways.
Thanks for the link. Very good I thought. I would like to see the Q & A so off to see if it is uploaded and if I can find it.

Marcus
Reader
Marcus

Do you have a link to that?

Manda
Reader
Manda
Admin
Reader

I believe we may have published it on here. I’ll check

vierotchka
Reader

I have finally found it (with google’s help). Apparently, the original site where I read it has been discontinued, but on the following site, her article is reproduced:
http://www.winterpatriot.com/node/852

Marcus
Reader
Marcus

They’ve just republished it on here! But it is a very interesting piece.

vierotchka
Reader

I think that Admin republished it at the same time that I came up with my above link. 🙂

vierotchka
Reader

Thanks. It is well worth the read.

Guest
Reader
Guest

Bryan McDonald is wrong to say that this guy should stand
He shows that he is influenced by the western media’s views on Russia
Russia has its laws
He is a convicted criminal – proven twice
He is serving his sentence.
Russians are up holding their constitution why bend the law for such an irrelevant person?
To argue that this should be done does not make sense. In the UK criminals can’t even vote – and mr McDonald thinks this guy should run for President?
Russia has good candidates from established parties that add to the debate in Russia – it is there business.

Jen
Reader
Jen

People should read this SOTT.net article on the Kirovles and Yves Rocher cases and judge for themselves if Alexei Navalny was wrongly convicted of fraud and embezzlement:
https://www.sott.net/article/372808-Alexey-Navalnys-phoney-bid-for-the-Russian-Presidency-and-the-US-medias-role-in-it

Manda
Reader
Manda

Thanks for that.
I have filed Navalny in a drawer with Pussy Riot and Petr Pavlensky but Navalny remains at the top for review or attention..
RT reported one poll showed Putin could win in the first round on current polling. Personally I hope so, sooner over the better.
https://www.rt.com/politics/416094-putin-election-first-round-grudinin/

Admin
Reader

He isn’t questioning Russia’s right to take care of things their own way, he is saying the Navalny issue is going to make it harder for anyone to counter the insane Russophobia in the West. This is a problem for all of us, Russia included, as it has enormous potential to drag us all into a major global war

rtj1211
Reader
rtj1211

Funny thing, I do not think too many Russians hang on every word of NYT, CNN, NBC and the like, possibly as many of them will not speak a word of English. So maybe if you wish to influence Russian voters you need a BBC Russian Service, a CNN broadcast in Russian etc etc. Course, that might be tricky given the way RT has been treated: why give free rein to Western spies to brainwash naive and innocent Russian voters eh? Especially as CNN will stuff its Moscow office full of CIA plants and Silicon Valley will unleash never ending… Read more »

mohandeer
Reader

j1211 – they already do

Arthur Cadbury
Reader
Arthur Cadbury

Putin is the best thing to have happened to Russia since Gorbachev – end of story – thank you and goodnight

Big B
Reader
Big B

Arthur: Gorbie and Putin do not belong in the same category. IMHO. One is genuine (Putin); the other, a globalist shill? On the surface, perestroika might look like a progressive philosophy: but ‘global perestroika’ – funded by the American and international financial elite, lauded by the glitterati and cognoscenti, and lionised by the ‘progressive’ liberal media (eg the Guardian and FT)? Gorbie is an enemy of the people; all people everywhere: if he gets his way, all basic human rights (including indigenous peoples rights) will be gone (or at least, severely curtailed) – and we’ll be living in a homologous,… Read more »

vierotchka
Reader

I remember reading that Navalny is helped and financed by George Soros and Mikhail Borisovich Khodorkovsky. They are truly wasting their ill-gotten money!

archie1954
Reader

I am so shocked, absolutely blown away! How could there be any opposition in Russian elections. I have been told by the American MSM that Russia is not a democracy but just warmed over Communism, that it is not capitalistic (make sure the Russian oligarchs know that) and that its Christianity is in question (does God know)? I guess I’ll just shake my head and doubt everything the MSM says from now on.

Terry Washington
Reader
Terry Washington

I for one am suspicious of Navalny’s “conviction”- from what I have read of judicial proceedings in present day Russia, the impartiality and independence of its courts are open to question!

mohandeer
Reader

Terry Washington.
“….from what I have read of judicial proceedings in present day Russia, the impartiality and independence of its courts are open to question!….”
Where have you read such information and do you have any links to this unbiased media?

europeannewright
Reader

Whatever Putin does or doesn’t do does not matter in the Imperialist West and its propaganda media. The US and its proxies have one aim only Total World Dominance their long term Globalist Agenda. To achieve this aim requires military, political and economic dominance over all. Sadly Mr Putin and Russia stand in the way of this goal. The US also have a child a very spoilt child called Israel. This child has great demands too and enjoys special relationships with the Elite of the US Political system. The control of the Middle East fulfils the needs of both the… Read more »