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Three New Reads – September

Philip Roddis
Let none accuse me of frivolity. My three selected reads this month address subjects that could not be more serious. As Western media and leaders continue to vilify Russia, Tony Kevin gives a much needed and more sober assessment. While the trashing of our environment – capital’s war on nature – proceeds apace, Bloggers Out of the Woods critically assess the contribution of Extinction Rebellion. And in the wake of this month’s strikes on Riyadh’s soft underbelly – its oil facilities – Patrick Cockburn asks: do cheap drones mark a shift in modern warfare, one that poses a major threat to America’s military industrial complex?

On September 11, Russia expert Tony Kevin delivered an address to the Independent Scholars Association of Australia. The transcript was published ten days later on OffGuardian, a site I probably consult more than any other. Though not primarily about Ukraine, Kevin touched on that country more than once, including this passage:

In 2014 we saw violent US-supported regime change and civil war in Ukraine. In February, after months of increasing tension from the anti-Russian protest movement’s sitdown strike in Kiev, there was a murderous clash between protesters and police, sparked off by hidden shooters (we now know they were expert Georgian snipers), aiming at police.

The elected government collapsed and President Yanukevich fled to Russia, pursued by murder squads.

The new Poroshenko government pledged harsh anti-Russian language laws. Rebels in two Russophone regions in Eastern Ukraine took local control, and appealed for Russian military help. In March, a referendum took place in Russian-speaking Crimea on leaving Ukraine, under Russian military protection. Crimeans voted overwhelmingly to join Russia, a request promptly granted by the Russian Parliament and President.

Crimea’s border with Ukraine was secured against saboteurs. Crimea is prospering under its pro-Russian government, with the economy kick-started by Russian transport infrastructure investment.

In April, Poroshenko ordered full military attack on the separatist provinces of Donetsk and Luhansk in Eastern Ukraine. A brutal civil war ensued, with aerial and artillery bombardment bringing massive civilian death and destruction to the separatist region. There was major refugee outflow into Russia and other parts of Ukraine. The shootdown of MH17 took place in July 2014.

Well that has to be a crock of garbage, right? I mean, it flies in the face of all we know of nasty Russia and valiant Ukraine, stuff that must be true because Luke Harding wrote it in the Graun, and we have triangulation from near identical coverage by the Beeb no less…

Kevin is not the only Russia watcher whose assessments, at odds with assiduously framed and orchestrated mainstream orthodoxies, have brought him deplatformed status. Former Reagan appointees Stephen Cohen, the West’s foremost Russia expert, and Paul Craig Roberts have for years been marginalised.

For a critical appraisal of the orthodoxies they fall foul of, we can do worse than turn to this from American Conservative; voice of the noninterventionist right and critical of mainstream narratives on Russia, Middle East, Venezuela and much besides.*

If for no other reason, I’d recommend Tony Kevin’s words for their insights into the ease with which dissident voices can be marginalised and no-platformed in a West fondly believed by its deluded citizens – sorry: the hour is late and this is a time for plain talking, not pulled punches – to be truly democratic and genuinely committed to principles of free speech.

But that’s not my main reason. It’s likely that, since you are still reading, you are more sceptical than most of mainstream narratives. In which case you are likely to be open to the notion that Russia is demonised for reasons that have little to do with those given by the Luke Hardings of this world (whose name is Legion) and a great deal to do with the agenda of an American led West facing slow decline in the face of Eurasia rising. A West whose leaders are busy making choices that may make sense on Wall Street but run counter to your real interests and mine.

It’s also likely, however, that you are too busy with the demands of life – job, family, paying the mortgage – to be as informed as you’d like. Confronted by friends parroting mainstream lines by ‘quality’ media, you find yourself dubious but ill-versed to counter arguments – what about Russian imperialism in Ukraine? …what about Assad’s use of poison gas? – used to paint black white and justify wars hot, and wars cold.

What Kevin does is summarise the lies and omissions littering mainstream accounts of Russia. We need more such round-ups on live hot spots of mainstream disinformation, and his offering would for this reason alone get my recommendation. But again there’s more. Along the way he has a section headed, “Truth, trust and false narratives”.

It opens with a tribute to my favourite blogger, a ‘fearless and brilliant’ Caitlin Johnstone, and shows how such mendacious accounts are assembled and sold to us.

In short, how we are brainwashed.

Read the full piece here (5862 words)

*

Out of the Woods are utterly convinced of the need for action addressing ecological crisis by any means necessary. But not all means are necessary.

As one himself frequently guilty of promising posts I either never get round to writing, or write with unforgivable tardiness, I’m in no position to throw stones. This article, which appeared in July, was heralded as part one of three on Extinction Rebellion. It focuses on XR’s tactics, with parts two and three to address defects in, respectively, its organisational forms and strategies.

As best I can ascertain, neither of the latter have yet appeared.

But I find sufficient merit in Part One to justify its inclusion here. Posted on Libcom.org by a frequent contributor, Out of the Woods, it deserves a read by at least two groups: those who doubt the dire straits capitalism’s reckless disregard for nature has brought us to, and those contemplating direct action of the kind XR practices.

It may even be that Out of the Woods’s delay in posting parts two and three has been brought about by its belated realisation that, in discussing the tactical defects of XR, it ipso facto says all that needs to be said of its organisational forms and strategies; indeed, of its entire world view.

I speak as a marxist for whom several things are apparent. One is that the most pressing issue of our time is the destruction of our environment. I needn’t get into the climate change debate here. Alarming loss of species, the consequences incalculable, and gross pollution – especially in the global south – of our soil, the water we drink and air we breathe; these will do for now. Capitalism’s insane but systemic addiction to narrowly defined growth is propelling us with frightening speed toward catastrophe of one form or another.

The second is that existing political processes, discredited in so many ways in the eyes of those who still use such things for seeing beyond the ends of their noses, are no less discredited on this front. These processes – parliamentarism, trade unionism, EU ‘internationalism’ – have all, to borrow from that crypto marxist classic, The Bible, been weighed in the balance and found wanting. The need for direct forms of protest could not be clearer or more pressing.

The third, recently pointed out to me by Roger (Socialist in Canada) Annis is that a key lesson of the modern era is that Change of the kind now needed has always come about by cross class alliances. The French, Russian, Chinese and Cuban Revolutions all involved workers, peasants, petit-bourgeois and other class forces. So will it be with effective opposition to environmental madness.

My fourth point, following hard on the third, is a distinction between Popular Fronts and United Fronts. The former, commonly referred to as ‘rainbow alliances’, seek the biggest possible mass base. To this end political discourse is contained and ideally eliminated as a threat to the unity of what must always be fragile coalitions, likely to fall apart or be co-opted by darker forces the moment they are tested in action, as they surely will be.

The united front by contrast works on the premise of agreement on a set of specific demands – opposition to fracking, say, combined with tactical steps to obstruct it. Such steps are engaged in by all groups and individuals who can, without dilution of wider principles and fundamental worldviews, sign up for them. Those groups and individuals will work tirelessly for goals they see as worthy but limited, while remaining free to argue the need for more radical measures.

Which is all the introduction needed for this experientially grounded and perceptive Out of the Woods piece.

Read the full piece here here. (3580 words)

*

The devastating attack on Saudi oil facilities by drones and missiles not only transforms the balance of military power in the Middle East, but marks a change in the nature of warfare globally.

On the morning of 14 September, 18 drones and seven cruise missiles – all cheap and unsophisticated compared to modern military aircraft – disabled half of Saudi Arabia’s crude oil production and raised the world price of oil by 20 per cent.

This happened despite the Saudis spending $67.6bn (£54bn) on their defence budget last year, much of it on vastly expensive aircraft and air defence systems, which notably failed to stop the attack. The US defence budget stands at $750bn (£600.2bn), and its intelligence budget at $85bn (£68bn), but the US forces in the Gulf did not know what was happening until it was all over.

Excuses advanced for this failure include the drones flying too low to be detected and unfairly coming from a direction different from the one that might have been expected.

I have a soft spot for Patrick Cockburn. Even when I think him wrong in the bigger view, which on the Middle East is often, I respect his sincerity and commitment to factually based reporting. In any case, as with many of the sources I find myself consulting – Russia Today,  Al-Monitor, Al-Jazeera, Economist, Guardian and American Conservative to name but few – I needn’t share all or for that matter any of their world views to find usefulness therein.

Shit, I’ll even use the CIA Factbook from time to time!

Take this from HuffPo at the time of John Bolton’s accession as National Security Advisor. Its title says it all: War With Iran Won’t Be Iraq All Over Again. It’ll Be Much Worse. I couldn’t agree more, especially when a large part of its reasoning has to do with Iran’s highly developed ability to wage protracted asymmetric war against conventionally superior forces.

What’s more, as Global Research opined two months ago, US alliances across the region show themselves on closer scrutiny to be shakier than initial appearances might suggest.

But let’s stay with asymmetric warfare. That’s what Cockburn’s piece is about. He doesn’t stick to Iran though. While he sees Tehran (rightly or wrongly) as one possible perpetrator of those drone strikes on Saudi oil, his is the broader point that hitherto decisive military superiority can vanish overnight.

It is unthinkable that American, British and Saudi military chiefs will accept that they command expensive, technically advanced forces that are obsolete in practice. This means they are stuck with arms that suck up resources but are, in practical terms, out of date. The Japanese, soon after they had demonstrated at Pearl Harbour the vulnerability of battleships, commissioned the world’s largest battleship, the Yamato, which fired its guns only once and was sunk in 1945 by US torpedo aircraft and bombers operating from aircraft carriers.

Food for thought, in this my shortest read recommend today.

Read the full piece here (1145 words)

*I am not uncritical of American Conservative, nor of Stephen Cohen. But my criticisms centre not on their untrustworthiness – they are to my mind that rarest of things, honest and independent brokers – but their naivity. Underpinning their critiques of Russophobia is a belief that somehow the West has taken a wrong turn in relation to Russia and much else. It follows that by electing better administrations, ones that return to ‘core values’ of American capitalism, a dangerous drift to war with Russia (and perhaps China too) can be corrected. To my marxist way of thinking this betrays weak understanding of the nature of capitalism in the age of imperialism. I will nonetheless continue to cite such sources precisely because in their innocence they continue to offer crisp and incisive appraisals of mainstream folly.

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Gezzah Potts
Gezzah Potts
Sep 30, 2019 12:46 PM

Appreciate this Philip, thanks. Sadly, in our brave new world, people like John Pilger, Eva Bartlett, Tony Kevin, Max Blumenthal, Seymour Hersh, et al are now…. Unpeople. They are either smeared, slandered, or just outright ignored. Refer to the Global Conference on Media Freedom earlier this year. Appreciate the link to libcom about Extinction Rebellion. Here in Melbourne have noticed something odd. In suburbs that have been gentrified, with a sizable influx of Hipsters and yuppies, there are Extinction Rebellion posters all over the place. In very average middle class or semi working class suburbs further out, cannot recall seeing any posters for Extinction Rebellion. Thats any. Coincidence? Was I looking hard enough? Do I need to go to Specsavers? I read elsewhere that one of Extinction Rebellion’s tactics is too deliberately sideline and go round genuinely radical socialist groups. Coincidence again? Capitalism has indeed created a huge disaster in… Read more »

BigB
BigB
Sep 30, 2019 12:05 PM

Eurasia rising? I did the Yuan (CNY) v Dollar (USD) the other day. Here is the Ruble (RUB) v USD 10 year chart. That massive spike in 2014/15 is the RUB losing half its value – more down to the ongoing crash in global oil prices than any sanction effect (which has been at least partly beneficial to Russia – at Germany and Europes expense). Is it has never recovered its value though – except on a short term basis (day to day) – in no way can it be said “Eurasia is rising”. Both the RUB and CNY have depreciated against the USD on the long term basis. Define ‘rising’ as a synonym for ‘falling’. https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=USD&to=RUB&view=10Y You see the USD funded the ‘rising’: and the appreciating USD is investors favourite hedge for the coming storm. China is struggling to keep the CNY from freefalling – because they need the… Read more »

bevin
bevin
Sep 30, 2019 3:39 PM
Reply to  BigB

” Labour constitute the false hopes of the eco-illiterate and economically challenged. That is why they are the sharp spearpoint being driven by the full force of corporate climate capitalism throught the heart of humanity…” This close collaboration between “the full force of climate change capitalism” (is there any other kind?) and Jeremy Corbyn is not immediately apparent to the ordinary observer. The problem with your arguments is that they get borne away by the excitement which they arouse within you. Fascism is a specific response to capitalist crisis not the only one, and whether fascism arises depends on the response it evokes, particularly among its probable victims. It was the response of the SPD, for example, and its inability to work with the KPD which was one of the contributory factors in the successful rise of Naziism. In a word sectarianism among working class organisations was one of the… Read more »

BigB
BigB
Oct 1, 2019 1:14 AM
Reply to  bevin

Fascism or corporatism has morphed since 1933, I’ll grant you that. I do not expect the Black Shirts or the Riot of Cable Street. Corporatism has been fashioning a state media cultural alliance all my adult life. One could argue – and I would not demur – that the new fascism – or Wolin’s invert totalitarianism – is almost complete. The hegemony of capital over humanity has taken place by stealth. Its capital is ‘offshore’. Its subversion of humanity goes largely unseen. And, by and large, those in the developed world approve and consent to that which is no less evil than the abominations of the middle of last century. If Hitler or Mussolini had their time again: they would not deviate from the course of action that has brought us here. By many accounts: Hitler was a great fan of how a handful of bureaucrats ruled India. Let’s face… Read more »

milosevic
milosevic
Oct 1, 2019 3:52 AM
Reply to  BigB

Science says we are a lot more altruistic and emotionally integrated than the political culture allows us to be. We could build a new politics around that. I’d like to suggest that you keep propagating that point, rather than the more esoteric stuff which nobody else understands, and probably wouldn’t agree with if they did. To which people will turn or not. They probably need to experience an environment which embodies such values, rather than just being told about it. The whole culture of capitalist society has been degraded to such an extent, that most people probably can’t imagine an alternative culture of social solidarity and mutual aid, never having had direct experience of any such thing. How to organize such an environment, in the middle of late-capitalist social and cultural squalor, on a sufficient scale that people would notice how different it made them feel, is an unresolved question.… Read more »

BigB
BigB
Oct 1, 2019 12:06 PM
Reply to  milosevic

M: given our history – that’s a very salient and intelligent comment. And I mean that with no shred of sarcasm at all. My frustration is partly born of the fact that my position is not esoteric at all. It is current: that is all. Not actually current: the principle of ‘autopoiesis’ is 40 years old. Helmholz’s principle of ‘active inference’ over a hundred. Embodiment – which is the broad church position I advocate has literally 1,000s of academic documents to back it up. I can’t keep up: new information alights every day. And we are doing politics with non-existent imaginary categories – that the new science absolutely refutes – hundreds of years out of date. It’s really frustrating that we demand we do politics with political categories set by Plato and Aristotle – Republican v Democrat; conservative v progressive. The binary politics of authoritarianism and the regimes of pseudo-truth… Read more »

Philip Roddis
Philip Roddis
Sep 30, 2019 9:03 PM
Reply to  BigB

BigB your repetition of a casual and quite specifically contextualised remark of mine – pulling punches – seems slightly unhinged to me. (Could you perhaps try to make your case more simply, less emotively and preferably above the line?} I wouldn’t reply to your comment had it come from anyone else. We go back a way though, and have conducted ourselves well. I’ll make an exception here. I shan’t reply to all you say. In fact, on the XR issue, I’m not even clear what you yourself are saying, or if and to what extent we differ. As for the question of Russia and China, I have two responses. One is that depreciation of their currencies against the dollar is a bizarre metric for the point you seem to be making. You are surely aware that a gripe of successive US administrations has been that Beijing artificially and unfairly holds… Read more »

BigB
BigB
Sep 30, 2019 11:48 PM
Reply to  Philip Roddis

The whole econometric point I have being trying to convey is that the US Empire is not checked at all financially by Russia and China. They are extending the Washington Consensus and USD credit lines. The military checking is a welcome result: but does little to stop the alienation and dehumanisation of capitalism. All that has occurred is that there was a seeming shift in allegiance stemming from WEF and SPIEF this year. So forgive me for happening upon a chance remark of yours: but Eurasia is not rising. Something much darker is occurring that needs addressing. Something I will address another time. I’m not sure there is any distance between us at all on the environmental causal nexus of the web of crises that is capitalism. But the airing of an article from the 22nd March seemed rather bizarre to me. The people who penned the article – Out… Read more »

Philip Roddis
Philip Roddis
Oct 1, 2019 9:30 AM
Reply to  BigB

BigB my friend. I’m often torn in reponding to your comments. On the one hand I admire your sincerity, on the other I have to agree with bevin’s assessment (above) that you get carried away by your own rhetoric. (This, BTW, is why I advocate your writing above the line, for the discipline it necessitates of communicating simply and clearly through well structured arguments, and renouncing the temptation – which all writers are prone to but must learn to resist – of parading our knowledge even when it gets in the way of our core message.) I feel the same ambivalence at more specific levels. While I share your reluctace to go down the road of eulogising Putin and Xi – we don’t need to do that: it suffices that they provide a check to US supremacy, as in Syria – I wonder at the ways it finds expression in… Read more »

BigB
BigB
Oct 1, 2019 2:12 PM
Reply to  Philip Roddis

Phil: We seem to have bounced off each other: for which I apologise. And thank you for giving me the opportunity to return to greater solidarity. Several things struck a chord – perhaps the wrong. Starting with the Dollar (USD). We are both anti-capitalists with a common admiration for Marx. There is more than one type of imperialism. Beneath the more common dimensions of imperialism – that have led to some sort of uneasy checks and balances in Syria – there is financial imperialism. Which amounts to the hegemony of capital over – not just labour – but over all of humanity and nature as well. Bracketing off ‘big guns’ imperialism – Eurasia rising is a totalitarian rising within the framing I just described. To which the progressive disposition attributes some sort of prestige. For the colonisation of the ‘supercontinent’ by trans-national free-enterprise capital? Have we forgotten our Marxist roots?… Read more »

Seamus Padraig
Seamus Padraig
Sep 30, 2019 11:22 PM
Reply to  BigB

Hmmm. I’ve heard a lot of epithets flung at the Chinese and the Russians lately, but I have to admit that this is the first time I’ve ever come across anyone calling them ‘eco-fascists’! Personally, I would sooner apply that label to the Globalist régime in the West, where Greta Thunberg and cap-and-trade are being used to shore up the legitimacy of a dying system. But that’s just me …

Martin Usher
Martin Usher
Oct 1, 2019 2:13 AM
Reply to  BigB

I think you’re making two mistakes. One is to assume that currency flows and relative value are the primary metric of wealth. Sure, there’s money to be made, as it were, but often and increasingly that money is not backed up with value, its tied to debt and the hope that that debt will ‘perform’ (because if it doesn’t then that money has absolutely no value). The other mistake is to misunderstand the nature of fascism. To anyone who’ knows anything of the history of 20th century fascism there is a particular way of talking, a militaristic turn of phrase where everything is like open warfare. Conservative politicians in both the US and UK are already talking like fascists and their response to events, especially those they can’t control, shows the characteristic hysterical bluster and tendency to hyperbole. There really isn’t a whole lot of daylight between what we think… Read more »

mark
mark
Sep 30, 2019 11:24 AM

One minor pedantic point.
The current US military budget is not $750 billion.
The true figure is $1,134 billion.
34% is hidden by accounting slight of hand.

Tom
Tom
Sep 30, 2019 6:36 AM

Extinction Rebellion equals Greta Thunberg equals R2P. Extinction Rebellion hold demonstrations outside Bolivian Embassy’s in Europe as Bolivia heads towards elections.

https://off-guardian.org/2019/09/09/propaganda-blitz-against-bolivias-progressive-government/

I smell a colour revolution in the making here. The Green Party where I live has in the past supported R2P with respect to Arab Spring colour revolutions. Whether these organizations are useful idiots, infiltrated organizations or Astroturfing, the next assault on those countries that haven’t been swallowed up by the “Exceptional Nation” will be attacked in the name of saving the planet. Billionaires backing Greta are destroying the planet, not Evo Morales. A comment I saw over at Moon of Alabama, “Greta may be able to see CO2, but I can smell BS” (a mile away). Extinction Rebellion is giving off a similar odour.

axisofoil
axisofoil
Sep 30, 2019 3:11 AM
Paul
Paul
Sep 30, 2019 1:11 AM

It is indeed very strange that a ‘swarm’ of drones and missiles were able to strike Saudi oil facilities – but did they? There was certainly a lot smoke as there was with the oil tankers said to have been mined (above the water line). Were the formidable Saudi defences really looking ‘the wrong way’ or ‘aimed too high’? How do the Israelis cope with smaller lower drones? The Houthi’s claim “they did it” but their original statement is interesting as it mentions significant assistance from inside the Kingdom. So did the Saudis lead them into that a trap that saw them claiming responsibility? Oil production – which they wanted to reduce anyway – had recovered in hours. Few photos of damage have emerged and fewer details; the Kingdom says they still don’t know from where the ‘swarm’ came – except it must be Iran. Once again there is a… Read more »