Let’s talk about…the Iran Deal & the End of the War
So…that war in Iran might be over.
It lasted just under eighteen weeks, most of which was spent in ‘ceasefire’, involved no ground troops and achieved nothing but soaring prices and (both sides) closing the Strait of Hormuz.
And now it’s over.
Maybe.
There’s a “tentative” deal in place.
It sort of feels like when a TV show “kills off” a character, but makes sure you never see the body just in case they want to bring them back later.
The terms of the deal, due to be officially signed on Friday, are not yet entirely public. Both sides are, naturally, pitching the result as a victory.
Reuters reports the deal includes a $300 billion fund financed by corporations in the US and a handful of Gulf states, but that this “is not a reconstruction or reparations programme and will not include any government money”.
Rather it is…
designed to trigger investment into Iran [and] to give both sides an economic incentive to conclude a final deal to end the war
For those keeping score, that’s just over 2.7 billion dollars per DAY of the war. Not a bad pay out.
The Telegraph reports that this fund is only available should Iran give up its uranium stockpile, but that they will be able to restart oil sales immediately.
Perhaps most importantly, Israel is not party to this deal, and yet Israeli forces pulling out of Lebanon is apparently part of the agreement…according to Iran, anyway. From the AP:
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Israel’s continued occupation of southern Lebanon would violate the deal.
“Without the withdrawal of Israeli forces from the territories they occupied during this war, the war has not fully come to an end,” Araghchi said.
A U.S. official, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss outlines of the agreement, has said the deal does not call for an Israeli withdrawal. And Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Monday that Israel would remain in Lebanon “as long as necessary.”
Good old Bibi Netanyahu has already ruled out giving up the occupied parts of Lebanon. This rather sets up that, should the deal fail, it will be Israel’s fault, doesn’t it?
And what about the Strait of Hormuz?
Well, that might take weeks to reopen. And oil and gas prices aren’t going to return to pre-war levels for months.
But what do you think?
- Will the deal hold?
- Will Iran give up its uranium?
- Will Israel pull out of Lebanon?
- Will they restart the war again later?
- Who has “won”?
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All speculation on this is futile. We almost certainly don’t know most of the real issues. Like the proverbial iceberg, most of it lies beneath the surface, above which the public domain exists.
Iran-Contra showed us that the motivations of key participants can be very different from what the public domain might suggest.
What we do know is that in this world there are Owners and there are Subjects. All of geopolitics consists of disputes between shifting coalitions of Owners. These disputes may well have implications for the Owners concerned, but the Subjects remain the Subjects.
There is no deal. Trump has been dangling hallucinatory carrots in Wall Streets face for months. Timing is impeccable. Monday before the market opens: ‘We got a deal in the works”. End of the week: ‘We working better than ever, an agreement is soon’. Monday, rinse and repeat. He’s jerking off Wall Street as needed to figure out how to get the remnants of his dick out of the door jam. MSM, politicians and anyone in front of a camera or microphone mimics the narrative without documentation of what’s agreed or actual response from Iran. Absolutely brain dead attention, spans the mainstream here. But everyone who follows “politics” knows, there’s no deal. No matter what is seen in print, there’s no deal.
US EMPIRE is back on the oil and gas pipeline to Hell, thinking they can continue to dollar control energy worldwide, throttling all opposition, corralling every country in debt to them, and continuing as king of the world. An illusion, a retro delusion. As soon as the rest of Western empire gets a clue and starts working toward their own well being and let’s the US sink themselves, they will go down with ’em. The US has spent 75 years cultivating compliant European leadership.
https://michael-hudson.com/2026/06/the-limits-of-empire/
It’s a bullshit war.
Somehow during Iraq Bush Jr war gas prices were 5 per gallon (equal to 8 today) without the strait closed
But today it’s around 4-5?
Everything screams bullshit even the Lebanon stuff which is full of propaganda from both sides.
I’m still awaiting a false-flag in the near future: possibly during next month’s 250-festivities, or maybe an ‘October surprise’ shortly before the midterms in November. Of course, Bibi can unilaterally kill this agreement whenever he feels like it, simply by attacking Lebanon again.
Where to start?
1: So, Iran signed the non-nuclear proliferation treaty in 1968, the year it was ratified. it gets inspections.. but Israel (who has nuclear weapons) never signed it and doesn’t get inspections.
2: On the other hand, if Israel did say it had nuclear weapons (which it has, but it doesn’t admit to) then without inspections according to US law they would not be sent any “aid” – either money or weapons.
3: Israel started the attack on Iran due to it’s not liking the idea Iran could have what it has (nuclear weapons) and then drew in the US even though .. point 1
4: Iran, being clever people, had already worked out that without US bases on its neighbors territory there would be no threat, so it’s attacked the ones that are the problem.. and guess who doesn’t like it.
Overall, I would say it would be in Iran’s interest to get nuclear weapons so this sort of tiff doesn’t happen again.
Complimenti! Questo è il giusto modo di guardare le cose! Se si vuole la pace in medio oriente, si deve togliere l’arma nucleare a Israele o far sì che anche l’Iran possa averla. Solo così si eviteranno le guerre…
If Iran had had nukes already, I’m sure all this would never have happened in the first place. After all, who’s attacking N. Korea?
Absolutely. The claim Iran is nuke crazy to dominate the world is a Marvel Comic hallucination virUS. Aquiring nukes as detente from the West and Israel is merely rational thinking. How this escapes common understanding is testament to the capacity of the capitalist state media persistence.