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Bipartisan panel: US must prepare for “horrendous,” “devastating” war with Russia and China

by Andre Damon, 16 November 2018, via WSWS

A bipartisan commission appointed by Congress issued a lengthy report Tuesday backing the Pentagon’s plans to prepare for a “great-power” war against Russia, China, or both, making clear that the Trump administration’s belligerent policies are shared by the Democratic Party.

Safe in the knowledge that its findings will never be seriously reported by the mass media, the authors of this report do not mince words about what such a war will mean. A war between the United States and China, which according to the report might break out within four years, will be “horrendous” and “devastating.” The military will “face greater losses than at any time in decades.” Such a war could lead to “rapid nuclear escalation,” and American civilians will be attacked and likely killed.

U.S. B-52 Stratofortress aircraft [Credit: US Air National Guard]

It is impossible to understand anything in American politics without recognizing one fundamental reality: the events and scandals that dominate political discourse, which make it onto the evening news and into headlines on news sites and social media feeds, have precious little to do with the considerations of those who actually make decisions. The media talking heads play their assigned roles, knowing that the most important topics can be discussed only within very circumscribed limits.

Those who actually make policy—a select group of high-ranking members of Congress, Pentagon officials, and think-tank staffers, as well as White House aides—speak an entirely different language among themselves, and in publications they know the general public will not read, and the media will not seriously report.

These people all accept as plain, self-evident fact, statements that, if they ever made the evening news, would be dismissed as “conspiracy theories.”

The latest example of such plain speaking comes in the form of a new report published by the National Defense Strategy Commission, a body set up by Congress to assess the Pentagon’s new National Security Strategy, issued early this year, which declared that “great-power competition—not terrorism—is now the primary focus” of the US military.

The findings of the panel, published as a report titled “Providing for the Common Defense,” can be summarized as follows: The US military is entirely correct to prepare for war with Russia and China. But the Pentagon, which spends more each year than the next eight largest national military forces combined, requires a massive expansion in military spending, to be paid for with cuts to bedrock social programs like Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security.

The report is, in other words, a congressional rubber-stamp on the Trump administration’s military build-up, putting into words what the Congress did in deeds this year when it passed, with overwhelming bipartisan support, the largest military budget increase since the Cold War.

But beyond the recognition that the United States should prepare for an imminent, “whole-of-society” war with “devastating” impacts on the American population, the document is a stark warning of another basic reality: The United States could very well lose such a war, which requires, in effect, the military conquest of the entire planet by a country with less than five percent of the world’s population.

The United States “might struggle to win, or perhaps lose, a war against China or Russia,” it declares. These wars would not just be fought overseas, but would likely target the American population: “it would be unwise and irresponsible not to expect adversaries to attempt debilitating kinetic, cyber, or other types of attacks against Americans at home while they seek to defeat our military abroad.”

It adds, “Should war occur, American forces will face harder fights and greater losses than at any time in decades. It is worth recalling that during the Falklands War, a decidedly inferior opponent—Argentina—crippled and sank a major British warship by striking it with a single guided missile. The amount of destruction a major state adversary could inflict on U.S. forces today might be orders of magnitude higher.”

To drive the point home, the report outlines a number of scenarios. The first involves Taiwan declaring independence from China in 2022, prompting Chinese retaliation. “The Pentagon informs the President that America could probably defeat China in a long war, if the full might of the nation was mobilized. Yet it would lose huge numbers of ships and aircraft, as well as thousands of lives, in the effort, in addition to suffering severe economic disruptions—all with no guarantee of having decisive impact before Taiwan was overrun … But avoiding that outcome would now require absorbing horrendous losses.”

The solution, the report concludes, is a much bigger army, funded by consistent, multi-year increases in spending. “There is a need for extraordinary urgency in addressing the crisis of national defense,” it writes.

The army needs “More armor, long-range fires, engineering, and air-defense units.” The Air Force needs “more stealthy long-range fighters and bombers, tankers, lift capacity, and intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance platforms.” The nuclear forces need more missiles. And so on and so forth.

To pay for all this, social services are to be gutted. “Mandatory entitlement programs drive spending growth,” the report complains, demanding that Congress address these programs, which include Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security. It warns that “such adjustments will undoubtedly be quite painful.”

And finally, all of society must be mobilized behind the war effort. A “whole-of-nation” approach must be adopted, including “trade policy; science, technology, engineering, and math education.” Everything from private corporations to academic institutions must be brought to bear.

In listing the various challenges to the United States fighting and winning a war against Russia or China, none of the distinguished members of the committee arrived at the seemingly obvious conclusion: that maybe the United States should not fight such a war.

But in this they represent the overwhelming consensus within American policy circles. In his last days, Adolf Hitler was reported to have declared over and over again that if the German nation could not win the Second World War, it did not deserve to exist. The American ruling class is entirely committed to a course of action that threatens the obliteration of not only much of the world’s people, but of the American population itself.

This is not the madness of individuals, but the insanity of a social class that represents an outlived and bankrupt social order, capitalism, and an equally outlived political framework, the nation-state system. And it can only be opposed by another social force: the world working class, whose social interests are international and progressive, and whose very existence depends on opposing the megalomaniacal war aims of American capitalism.

Copyright © World Socialist Web Site


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Stephen Henry Rose
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Stephen Henry Rose

Has always seemed weird to me that the USA has fought proxy and cold wars against these two countries, in an effort to get them to become capitalist, and when they do …and do capitalism better than the US, then another reason to hate them is found.

John Rachel
Reader

Let’s stop dancing around the corruption and fraud endemic in the DOD. In the first place, Congress in its current composition WILL NEVER address this grotesque malfeasance and the inherently skewed priorities of our military posturing. Only the citizenry united behind a focused strategy for taking on the MICM complex can stop the military madness. The only way to stop this abuse is to drain the funds. Fortunately, we have the facts and the Constitution on our side. But combating something of this scale requires an unprecedented, completely outside-the-box approach, one that will force the crooks and liars out of office, and reshape the entire federal budget. This is a tall order but with some creativity it can be done.

Please look at this … “Dealing With A Shark Attack” http://jdrachel.com/2016/09/30/dealing-with-a-shark-attack/

To further see how this approach can be a watershed for a host of progressive reforms, please also refer to these five articles …

http://jdrachel.com/2016/09/19/the-peace-dividend-concept-now-a-book/
http://jdrachel.com/2016/10/12/paying-for-the-peace-dividend/
http://jdrachel.com/2017/02/20/the-peace-dividend-could-it-really-happen/
http://jdrachel.com/2017/02/25/peace-dividend-candidates/
http://jdrachel.com/2017/03/03/the-peace-dividend-some-perspective/

This is not a gimmick. It’s a paradigm-shifting, game-changing mechanism for redefining our national priorities. But first we need to “starve the beast” before it destroys us.

The details are all there for the asking …. http://peacedividend.us

Molloy
Reader
Molloy

.

(sighing) . . . . . all as clearly predicted in ‘1984’.

War mongers. Prison. Now.

.

vexarb
Reader

Appeal to The World Community to stop the cookie U$ war against Russian speakers:

“Work is underway to create in Ukraine an analogue of the Syrian “White helmets,” who, according to the authors, would record the consequences of poisoning of the [Ukraina’s Russian speaking] population and falsify video materials allegedly proving involvement in these inhuman actions of the militia forces and Russia.”

We appeal to the world community, the UN, the OSCE and other humanitarian missions to prevent the outbreak of large-scale hostilities in the Donbas. We do not want any casualties among the innocent civilian population.

https://thesaker.is/the-head-of-dpr-appeals-to-the-world-community-to-prevent-an-outbreak-of-large-scale-hostilities-in-donbas/

vexarb
Reader

Meanwhile in the real world, more indication that Syria is re-gaining its position in the region and that Big NATZO’s plans to dismember Little Syria are beginning to crumble. True large parts of Syria including the Golan remain occupied by Uncle $cam and henchmen, but also true that the new Iraqi president is coming to Syria for a visit… and this bodes well.

ليث ابو بطيخ
@leithfadel
·
Breaking: Iraqi President to visit Damascus in next few days. Barhim Salih will be the second Arab president to visit Syria now that the NATZO invasion of 2011 has been repelled. Iraqi president, Barhim Salih, is Kurdish, not Arab. Significant is that the head of the Iraqi state is paying a formal visit to meet the head of the Syrian government in Damascus.

A quite visible symbol of diminishing U$ influence. Uncle $cam, as before in Vietnam, giving his people another Paper Tiger moment in history….

Uncle ponders; tweets, “Might be a good the time to think about tackling Russia & China”

vexarb
Reader

Cut&Paste from Anon BTL Saker: “Sounds crazy to me, but most of what they say anymore sounds crazy. So, maybe they really are crazy enough to think hey, we are better than Napoleon or Guderian, so hey, a winter war in Russia is going to be a cakewalk.”

John2o2o
Reader
John2o2o

“it would be unwise and irresponsible not to expect adversaries to attempt debilitating kinetic, cyber, or other types of attacks against Americans at home …”

WTF is a “kinetic” attack?! (lol) and I’m still not sure what a “cyber” attack might be. The ageing nutjobs that come up with this crap belong in mental hospitals where they can do no damage.

Seriously. This stuff is insanity. The above also has a false premise: that you have adversaries. This is a paranoid delusion. You assume you have adversaries that you could never be friends with. That’s pure projection, America.

I’ll be “unwise” and “irresponsible” if I want to. And I will stay alive – thanks all the same.

Badger Down
Reader
Badger Down

A kinetic attack is when your opponent actually moves; a cyber attack is when e stares at a screen and curses. Why do USers want to rule the world?

Ellen Lattz
Reader
Ellen Lattz

You keep trying to start a new war.. Stupid people.

vexarb
Reader

From Pip BTL today’s Saker, more on Putin’s speech re Russian aerospace hypersonic missiles. Same with underwater guided missiles, new Sukhoi models, and intense partnerships with China, Iran, Serbia and Venezuela ensure Russia must now be considered the dominant world power.

Russia now largest food exporter and self sufficient in nearly all areas. China has a bigger economy, it is not yet self sufficent. Xi is working hard to reduce the pro western corrupt influence. No wonder Latin America and Africa voted against or abstained from the anti-Russia and anti-China votes at the UN. _Sad however that so many good Slavic Europeans are happy to go down with the sinking Anglo Zionist ship_, when the door is wide open for them to the multipolar world’s Belt and Road Initiative.

And now Russia and China satellites have the ability to disrupt all enemy radio communication.

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/2178214/china-and-russia-band-together-controversial-heating-experiments

John2o2o
Reader
John2o2o

“And now Russia and China satellites have the ability to disrupt all enemy radio communication.”

– Paranoid bullshit.

If they have it the Americans would have had it long ago and they would have used it.

vexarb
Reader

Cut’n’Paste: “Putin: Russia’s advanced weapons. Serial production Avangard hypersonic missile systems. Successful tests Russia’s most advanced Sarmat intercontinental ballistic missile. Kinzhal air-launched precision hypersonic weapon successfully placed on combat duty. Peresvet combat lasers have entered duty. Putin emphasized, these weapons significantly increase potential of the army and fleet, thus reliably ensuring Russia’s security for decades to come. These developments strengthen balance of power & global stability.
http://tass.com/defense/1036587

BigB
Reader
BigB

The Commission that wrote this shite was established by the late, great, (‘insane in the membrane’) McCain: with participation Roger, son of Dov Zakheim. From such a psychopathological gene pool: who would expect anything different?

Michael McNulty
Reader
Michael McNulty

America will start the war that kills a billion. And lose.

wardropper
Reader
wardropper

We all lose.
This can’t happen.

John2o2o
Reader
John2o2o

A war that kills a billion has no winners.

Badger Down
Reader
Badger Down

The US will lose.

olavleivar
Reader
olavleivar

You eat the Cake while You try to keep it …
Bottomline You are GLOBALIST … which means YOU ARE AGAINST THE COMMON PEOPLE of ANY COUNTRY.. and in spite of Your Efforts of masquerading this FACT by swades of empty Words .. those among us … who still can think … RECOGNIZE YOU FOR WHAT YOU ARE :

In the pocket of the GLOBALIST ELITES … like Your BUNCH of TRAITORS to the PEOPLE always have been … under a cloak of catchy and selfrighteous but empty Slogans …
PLEASE : STICK YOUR MARXISM UP WHERE IT BELONGS .. in YOUR ASS-HOLE ! …..

If You want to be ” SOCIALIST ” ….
Your only HONOURABLE choice would be the NATIONAL SOCIALISM of GERMANY … who ran Policies quite similar to the current Policies of China and Russia .. today .. but far more comprehensive , intelligent and successfull — which also was the REAL reason , why Hitler Germany had to be destroyed …
but You neither have the GUTS and probably not the INTELLIGENCE or INTEGRITY to dare to slaughter this HOLY JEWISH CASH COW : ..
And as long as that is the Case … YOU ARE A LOOSER !

IF You really want to prevent WW 3 .. You must recognize that both the USA as well as the UK in reality are JEWISH VASAL STATES … the UK since 1694 and the USA definitely since 1913 .
They have been the ones who have instigated all major wars in the last 200 Years ! … At Least …
Thats where You need to start ….IF .. you in reality would like to prevent Wars …
You dont .. and THAT tells the informed person .. that You are a LIAR and in reality in the Pocket of those You claim to oppose !

Molloy
Reader
Molloy

.

Better a Marxist philosopher than Racist Bigot.

.

¡No pasarán!

:::::::::::::::::::::::::::

lundiel
Reader

I wonder, is a bipartisan commission appointed by Congress anything like our select defence committee? I say this because the make up of our select defence committee is guaranteed to make decisions maintaining the status quo, whoever is party leader. The idea that Ruth (CIA asset) Smeeth should be within a million miles of foreign policy under Corbyn is tragicomic.

John2o2o
Reader
John2o2o

She’s got more chance of being foreign secretary for the Conservatives.

Archie1954
Reader
Archie1954

The US should just change its name to Sparta and start producing more male children to die for the elites!

axisofoil
Reader

We are much more creative. This is a great opportunity for immigrants to gain citizenship. Then we can get rid of them at the same time. Same way we used the Irish for the Civil war.
We could even bring in lots of the criminal types, the poor uneducated ones the other countries don’t want anyway. Like ‘McNamara’s morons’. A win – win. Clothing, arming, drugging, transporting, feeding…. think about the possible corporate profits here. IBM is sure to give it all a smart interface like they did for Hitler.
We could even have a pay per view War channel 24/7 with combatants micro chipped so their family members could track them with GPS through each battle, right there on streets mapped by google earth.
Just like Vietnam, there could be a constant ‘body count’.Then we could gamble on the lottery spread at 7-11. 3 Americans / 2,122 Chinese……..Tuesdays Winner! Better than war bonds for money raising, and could there be a more patriotic game?
There is so much opportunity for profit here. We know how to do war. Let’s get this war going.

Badger Down
Reader
Badger Down

The US has fought wars “over there” for too long. Next time, the US will be damaged.

wardropper
Reader
wardropper

The Spartans had a sense of honour.
Our modern elites have a sense of money.

George Cornell
Reader
George Cornell

You might have said more poor, uneducated, otherwise unemployable black children.

axisofoil
Reader

Social security will not be touched. To accomplish all of this we need only to print lots of money. We have a great press. Really great.

Robbobbobin
Reader
Robbobbobin

Between now and next 11/11 I’m going to be saving up every penny I can. When we get there, it’ll be a quick breakfast then onto those Chinese web sites for the rest of the day and it’ll be all spend, spend, spend before we blow the fuckers away.

P.S. They can’t take it with them. Ha! Last laugh any way.

lundiel
Reader

What, I wonder, does America consider to be “winning a War”? They will never commit troops to invade Russia or China, to do so would be suicide. So, they intend to fight Russia in Europe and China? I can only imagine them going straight for the nuclear option and the annihilation of as many civilians as possible in a first strike. To try and communicate this to the British people is hopeless, I hope I, and mine, get incinerated in the first hour. Thanks America.

vexarb
Reader

@Lundiel: “What, I wonder, does [North] America consider to ,be “winning a War”? ”

I would would say they had won if there were any Yanks or Canucks left after Russia’s superior missiles came over the Poles (the latest ones can enter North America from either North or South Pole trajectories) and China’s superior manpower supplemented the Russians coming over the Baring Straits.

If we in Western Europe keep our noses clean we can step back, sit out and watch the greatest historical spectacle since the Sack of Rome by Alaric the Goth and Attila the Hun.

wardropper
Reader
wardropper

It’s typical of corrupt politicians that when they have conquered everything they want to conquer, they turn on each other.
The nepotistic rewarding of overgrown children is the cause, and it’s amazing that such an old story is still controlling our lives.

Maggie
Reader
Maggie

@Lundiel – When America speaks of winning a war against Russia or China,they mean using the ‘gang’ of pawns they have set up throughout Europe/ME to do the fighting for them and annihilating and culling their populations in the process. Then – when the fighting is almost over.. they will ride in on their new Humvees and claim victory, just as they did WW2.
They have been very good at duping ignorant people with their propaganda and lies, but they are absolute cowards through and through, fit only to kick the door of a shack in and rape and murder the inhabitants, like they did in Vietnam and Afghanistan.
But Russia and China are far bigger fish.

They are exposed for the rotting carcass they are.
Time now to boycott all that is American, especially their imported moronic propagandised TV programmes and films, Coka Cola, MacDonalds and Ford cars….
etc.. Oh, and all the MK Ultra programmed Disney babes, like Britney, Christina Aguilera, Katy Perrie, Gaga.. and the latest Arianna Grande…. Who have done more to pervert our young people than anyone in the whole of history.
Kick them all into touch and get a full body and mind cleanse…Now..

Philpot
Reader
Philpot

These people are bonkers. This is what happens when you put ugly people (who can’t get a burd) in power: they think they aren’t missing anything if the world is nuked, and probably relish the jealous thought of all those with burds getting wiped out!

Makropulos
Reader
Makropulos

I love this reference to social services as “entitlement programs” – as if the relentless squandering of revenues on the psychopathic accumulation of greater and greater weapons did not already indicate a parasitical class who automatically feel entitled to do whatever they want with the wealth.

harry stotle
Reader
harry stotle

Yes, its quite extraordinary – destroy the social fabric then point the finger at those harmed by destruction that has been inflicted.

Exactly the same principle seems to operate on the international stage as well – too many people blaming ‘terrorists’ rather than unilateral acts of aggression that lead to extremism.

Maggie
Reader
Maggie

Hi Harry Stottle
here is an enlightening video that I know you will relish:

Ken Kenn
Reader
Ken Kenn

The irony of this great power competition is that the very power they wish to hold over their challengers post apocalypse will be a burnt and useless earth.

Once they come out of their bunkers after it’s over..

I can imagine them now saying: ” See those ashes – they are our ashes – we won those ashes.

One thing’s for sure – no winning power can rule the earth from a post nuclear bunker.

They will have to come at at sometime and breath the air of ” Freedom”

harry stotle
Reader
harry stotle

“Mr President, it would be foolish and naive in the extreme to dismiss this problem. We cannot allow an ashes gap”
General Buck Turgidson, USAF Chief of Staff.

George cornell
Reader
George cornell

Kubrick nailed it. But was that not a mine shaft gap?