66

The Strait of Hormuz – A Very Strange Tug-of-War

Kit Knightly

Since the US/Israel began their war – sorry, their “targeted, limited, combat operation” – hard facts have been hard to come by.

In a more than usually cloudy combat narrative, we’ve been told that Iran is winning AND losing, depending who you ask. It’s a regime change war, but also it isn’t. Various Iranian officials have been killed, and some came back. Netanyahu was briefly dead, too. There was talk of a tactical nuke.

Nowhere  is this fog of war  thicker than in the Strait of Hormuz, about which it is seemingly impossible to get a *ahem* strait answer.

The coverage is so fast-paced and contradictory it conjures up images of an elaborate game of “yes, and…” being played by members of an improv group who have totally different goals for the story, and secretly hate each other.

Within hours of the initial bombing raids of “Epic Fury”, Western news sources were reporting that Iran had closed the strait of Hormuz.

Then Iran said they hadn’t, but they were threatening to.

Then Western insurers stepped in, forcing a closure in effect by refusing to cover ships passing through the strait.

Then Donald Trump said the US military would insure the ships, and offered them military escorts as well.

Then we were told that Iran couldn’t close the Strait, even if they wanted to, because their navy had been totally destroyed.

Then the press reported that Iran had mined the Strait with “about a dozen mines”, despite Iranian officials denying this entirely.

More strangely, even US Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth, refuted the presence of mines, telling a Press Briefing, “We have no evidence of that.”

Which raises an interesting question: If both the governments involved in this war say there aren’t any mines, who is saying there ARE mines? And why?

Who is overruling both the Pentagon and the Iranian Foreign Ministry? And why are the vast majority of the press accepting their word?

Unfortunately, if there ARE mines, the US Navy is in no position to do anything about them, since they decommissioned their four minesweeper ships in September, and then sailed them out of the area in January.

Given that Iran mining the Strait is a very obvious potential outcome of any conflict, one the US has likely wargamed  dozens of times in the last fifty years, this is “incompetence” so incredible it’s virtually self-sabotage.

Some politicians recently suggested they could use mine-sweeping drones to keep the trade line open, but the press shut that down immediately, reporting that “Mine-Sweeping Drones Don’t Eliminate The Risks For Clearing Hormuz”

So the press and politicians are engaged in a debate about the best way to remove mines that are not confirmed to be there, and that both sides officially state do not exist.

Meanwhile, Iran is offering safe passage through the Strait to ships from China, or ships trading in Yuan,  or just anyone who asks nicely. Which seems to suggest they are telling the truth about the absence of mines.

Which again raises the question of why the press seem so keen for those mines to be there.

All of these contradictions generate a list of pressing questions:

  • Is the Strait of Hormuz open or closed?
  • If closed, who closed it and how?
  • Why can’t the US Navy keep the Strait open?
  • Does Iran have any Naval ships left? Or have they been sunk?
  • Are there mines deployed? How many?
  • If there are mines deployed, could Iran offer safe passage as it is allegedly doing?

…all of which have either no answers at all, or multiple contradictory answers.

It seems clear that large sections of the establishment want the Strait of Hormuz closed, or at least to make everyone believe it’s closed. The broader strokes of “why” are obvious: Drive up prices, cultivate shortages and panics. Chaos. Even better, expensive chaos. The best kind.

But it also seems like Donald Trump and those close to him don’t want the Strait closed and are trying to insist it is open and can be kept open.

Hence, we can only suppose,  the back-and-forth claims  –

“it’s closed!”

“No, it’s open”

“Definitely closed actually – and mined!”

“Nope, open, open, open, open”

“Closed, closed, closed closed – mines everywhere…”

Two drivers fighting over a steering wheel, while the car manically veers and swerves back and forth.

This struggle over the direction of the story appears to be ongoing; just yesterday, Trump was pleading with NATO allies to help keep the Strait open. It doesn’t look like they’re going to help.

The press is even planning ahead by positioning for the economic impact of the Hormuz closure to persist past the end of the war.

The Financial Times headlines

Why Hormuz will haunt us long after this war ends

And goes on to say…

It is not in Trump’s power to reopen this vital sea passage by declaring victory and walking away. Instead his war with Iran — and the particular issue of the Strait of Hormuz — will define the rest of his presidency and may haunt his successors.

That is because the strait’s closure creates both an immediate crisis and a long-term strategic quandary. The current problem is that the longer it is closed, the greater the threat of a global recession. The future dilemma is that Iran now knows that control of the Strait of Hormuz gives it a stranglehold over the world economy. Even if it relaxes its grip in the short term, it can tighten it again in future.

Do you see?

In a move straight out of Wag the Dog, they have insured the narrative against  anyone, be it Pezeshkian/Trump/Hegseth/Netanyahu/ or anyone suddenly claiming the war is over and ruining the plan.

They’re telling us even if that happens, even  if the sides were to come  to terms and end hostilities, we’ll still be “haunted” by Hormuz and  “feel the effects of the closure” long after any fighting is finished.

That makes it very clear, doesn’t it?

It is vitally important to the greater narrative that the Strait of Hormuz is closed.

Possibly indefinitely

The question is what comes next.

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Elvira - Admin4
Admin
Elvira - Admin4
Mar 18, 2026 7:02 PM

We have had many problems today with the website. DDoS attack and then comments were not working for some hours. And now the voting is broken. We are trying to fix everything. Hopefully be back to normal soon.

UPDATE – it is a problem with caches. Some browser worse than others but we don’t yet know why. It also is intermittent seemingly.

Brave is better. Safari and Opera quite bad.

Armando Romani
Armando Romani
Mar 19, 2026 6:50 PM

One of your questions is easy: who closed it. The answer is, of course, the bankers. When Lloyd’s of London and similar insurers of the insurers refused to continue underwriting coverage for western-flagged oil/gas/LNG tankers passing through the straits, it became a fool’s mission for such vessels to attempt it.

The superficial answer for why they did it is “because it’s unsafe now”; but when you dig deeper, the real motivations always revolve around control and eugenics/population reduction.

Why can’t the US keep it open? The US military was already overstretched, overcommitted and too far from their supply lines before the hostilities kicked off, and now it’s become apparent that both carrier groups and isolated forward air bases are next to useless against modern drone warfare. Continuing to fire multimillion dollar defensive missiles that take months to manufacture in a futile attempt to stop inexpensive and practically undetectable drones that can be endlessly replicated in no time flat on a shoestring budget is simply not sustainable.

The initial strategy was to strike quickly with overwhelming force in order to provoke an anti-government uprising within Iran, and now it looks like there never really was a plan B. Maybe the empire hasn’t crumbled yet, but let’s just say that some serious cracks in its foundation are now plainly visible.

SeamusPadraig
SeamusPadraig
Mar 19, 2026 5:14 PM

Welcome to our first post-modern war! Hope you enjoy …

Rhys Jaggar
Rhys Jaggar
Mar 19, 2026 3:32 PM

Isn’t this why AI is not only a waste of time, but extremely dangerous to humankind?

When you have wars, with decisions being taken to destroy infrastructure, half the global economy and far, far to many human beings, it’s usually a good idea to take decisions carefully, with proper information to hand. In the world of AI, instant judgements get created online which creates a pile of incoherent dross and the potential for schizophrenia for anyone who takes almost any of it seriously.

Given that the effect of closing the Strait of Hormuz is an ‘oil shock’ which will spike the cost of energy enormously for all those that import oil to stimulate their economies, it’s probably worth asking: ‘Who on earth (individuals, corporations, not nations) benefits from sky high oil prices?’

Those are the people who will have been gagging for this war and this outcome.

People might like to think what they would like to do about them?

Edwige
Edwige
Mar 19, 2026 1:54 PM

Where the UK gets its oil:
https://www.statista.com/statistics/381963/crude-oil-and-natural-gas-import-origin-countries-to-united-kingdom-uk/

Have Trump’s scriptwriters got him threatening Norway yet?

John Goss
John Goss
Mar 19, 2026 1:08 PM

As there is no reply Elvira – Admin4 to your comment at 7.02 pm yesterday, I would mention that other alternative sites are, or have been, experiencing similar problems. Wikispooks, one of the best sources of information not found elsewhere has been experiencing attacks for months now. Sadly, I suspect, such attacks are unlikely to get less frequent.

Erik Nielsen.
Erik Nielsen.
Mar 19, 2026 1:37 PM
Reply to  John Goss

What have you expected? So you think you can live peacefully talking up against the wind.

Edwige
Edwige
Mar 19, 2026 8:51 AM

The USA in microcosm?….
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/uss-gerald-r-ford-warship-fire-crete-b2941151.html

Not sunk from the outside but collapsed from the inside by low morale, failing infrastructure and mysterious fires (i.e. outbreaks of Luciferianism). Failed toilets and loss of sleeping facilities kinda looks like what someone might do if they wanted to create a pressure cooker where there might be a mutiny (how’s the food?). Coincidence that Ford was the last admittedly masonic President?

Satanic Panic through Epstein –> people flock back to churches –> controlled/idiot pastors evangelise a pseudo-crusade –> new crusaders get to the Middle East and find their cause is literally and metaphorically awash in shit –> in their despair they’re at best (from the cabal’s viewpoint) ripe for conversion into the Gnostic-Luciferian mindset or at worst demoralised into giving up.

Erik Nielsen.
Erik Nielsen.
Mar 19, 2026 1:42 PM
Reply to  Edwige

Arent they a bit updated today? Too expensive, too slow, too crowded. Up against cheap quick drones and hypersonic long distance missiles.
I know they are America’s proud and if one or three went down it would a national humiliation of the century.

Robber Baron
Robber Baron
Mar 19, 2026 8:45 AM

A believable narrative for the Strait of Hormuz being deemed “closed” was always a major motive for this war. Like “covid”, it’s a simple one-stop excuse for everything the world-govt/neo-feudalism lunatics want to roll out. It’s “lockdown 2”.

With “lockdown 1” the story was “virus, mass deaths, disrupt supply chains, shortages.” But that was only partially successful and began falling apart once too many people became wise to the questionable reality and deadliness of the alleged virus.

They have done their customer-research and understand that war is a much easier sell than “deadly virus”. It’s big advantage being it puts the world population in rival camps, preoccupies them with hating each other rather than examining the narrative.

That was “covid’s” big weakness, it put all of humanity in the same boat. This was supposed to help with the “one-world” narrative, but ended up simply exposing the fact our only real enemy was “them”, the governments of the world who were united in imprisoning and poisoning us,

Luckily, just as people were waking up to this fact Russia invaded Ukraine, and this allowed “lockdown 1” and its globalist agenda to fizzle out of public awareness for a while.

But while we may all have forgotten about the Great Reset, the architects of it had not. They took the timeout provided by the war and other distractions to formulate a new and foolproof way of achieving their ends – and here it is!

The “wag the dog” nature is blatant as Kit eloquently points out. The media are determined the Strait of Hormuz is CLOSED, even when both protagonists say it’s not, because it absolutely has to be SAID to be closed in order for the rest of the “disrupted supply chains, shortages” narrative to work.

They’re even building up a backstop story that the Strait will effectively be “closed” even if the war ends! Because they don’t want another failure. This one needs to work, even in the face of un-cooperation from some key elements.

I agree with Kit it does look like some insiders are opposing this plan, hence the refusal of the War Sec to go along with the story the Strait is “mined”. And yes, Iran is not too keen on that story either, so there are cracks already in “lockdown 2”.

Let’s hope they widen and the edifice starts to crumble as with “lockdown 1”.

Johnny
Johnny
Mar 19, 2026 6:47 AM

Maybe some of the other gutless, sycophantic ‘leaders’ could take a leaf out of the Spanish President’s playbook:

https://consortiumnews.com/2026/03/18/patrick-lawrence-pedro-sanchezs-no-a-la-guerra/

Erik Nielsen.
Erik Nielsen.
Mar 19, 2026 1:55 PM
Reply to  Johnny

One thing comes to mind when reading the link. “Ireland goes along with Spain” that Ireland is still a bunch of slaves to the Brits.
Ireland is still not free and when and if they will become a fee nation one day is a big question.
Marianne FaithfulIreland Ireland, when will you be free: https://youtu.be/-Qek61PI5FQ

Herringbone Trousers
Herringbone Trousers
Mar 19, 2026 6:02 AM

They’re trying to shut you down, you must be over the target.

askn4amico
askn4amico
Mar 19, 2026 5:07 AM

It appears the the land down under will be going into covid style emergencies due to fuel shortages , So please explain why a modern western nation has only two refineries .Yes economics. What ever. According two actual facts on Australia fuel reserves . The end of march will trigger FUEL SECURITY ACT 2021. Australia has fuel shortages. Guess where? Rural Australia. Food. How much diesel is required for mining and exploration. Yes everything is a coincidence.Food security energy security would surely be on most western governments minds. IE: Liberty gardens. They have been passing city urban laws that ban backyard gardens.

Johnny
Johnny
Mar 19, 2026 6:01 AM
Reply to  askn4amico

Cause we’re just a colonial backwater of His Highness and the Empire of War Greed and Hypocrisy.

Erik Nielsen.
Erik Nielsen.
Mar 19, 2026 4:01 PM
Reply to  askn4amico

Its all Iran’s fault, not our fault!

Literallynobody
Literallynobody
Mar 19, 2026 3:52 AM

Brilliant.
It’s similar by way of tactics to covid…
It’s deadly and it’s not but for some yes it is, dying with, is, and is not, the same as dying from it etc etc.

Stooge
Stooge
Mar 19, 2026 1:32 AM

Jon Hoffman, an objective observer from the CATO Institute has this to say:

Two years ago this week, I published this piece on how Israel is a strategic liability for the United States.

This has been the case for decades, but the past two years have proven Israel is arguably the greatest strategic liability the United States currently shoulders abroad.

The US-Israel special relationship is not sustainable. The pathologies of the special relationship with Israel have hindered Washington’s strategic maneuverability in the Middle East and inhibited US leaders’ ability to think clearly about the region. Lobbying on behalf of Israel has steered Washington’s regional policies in directions contrary to US interests.

Israel’s foreign policy is inherently aggressive and expansionist both in the Occupied Territories and the wider Middle East. And it is getting worse. The special relationship binds Washington to this agenda, subsidizing it while entangling the United States in a host of protracted crises that would otherwise be avoidable. At every turn, it pulls the United States deeper into the Middle East.

The special relationship emboldens Israel and incites widespread regional hostility toward the United States. The unparalleled levels of American political, economic, and military support for Israel allow it to avoid the policy trade-offs that typically constrain other states. The result is perpetual conflict subsidized by the United States to its own disadvantage.

The last two years have marked the apex of the US-Israel relationship, characterized by total Israeli impunity guaranteed by the United States. they have epitomized the dysfunctions of the special relationship for the United States—blind support for Israeli policy and disregard for American interests.

Nothing the United States receives from Israel justifies the profound negative consequences of the special relationship. It is unidirectional, yielding virtually no benefit for the United States while actively undermining US interests.

This is particularly the case when it comes to Iran. The US-Iran rivalry is primarily a byproduct of the special relationship, which policymakers in Washington and Israel invoke to strengthen their partnership, creating a self-perpetuating cycle of conflict and greater American regional involvement.

This cannot continue. The United States needs to fundamentally reorient its approach to Israel. The special relationship needs to end.

Erik Nielsen.
Erik Nielsen.
Mar 19, 2026 4:08 PM
Reply to  Stooge

I and Trump have already been thinking this over, and we both agree that Saudi would be a much more beneficial partner in ME for US than the only Democracy.

The problem is only how do we get around the 40 multi-billionaires in US that Netanyahu brags about do support the Zionist cause. In London there are 40 Zion multi-billionaires too.
This is a huge problem as one cant just get rid of big money.

Munk
Munk
Mar 19, 2026 1:30 AM

An insightful commentary Kit. Your observations and links to sources are very well appreciated. Thank you.

askn4amico
askn4amico
Mar 19, 2026 1:11 AM

An addum: Path to persia Path to Russia to papers written by the Brookings institute in 2008. It lays out point blank and it is being played out just like the 2 aforementioned papers. Still think it is all a coincidence. I suggest people start reading all the white papers written in tha last fifty years from the likes of Brookings and Chattam house and bang come and tell me I am wrong cause these institutes are the nuggets of real power and where they are steering humanity in the modern age . Similar fact the the likes of Manchem Begun and Eisenhower on old political spectrum would be considered Left in the old Political spectrum when left meant common man and right was considered conservative

askn4amico
askn4amico
Mar 19, 2026 12:52 AM

All the O2 is being expended on the latest “GLOBAL CRISIS”. Again doing deep dive analysis and having some level of intellectual honesty one can come to similar conclusion. PUNTO UNO: Every western economy and the so called BRIC’s aligned economies a moving forward with digital currencies.Track and Trace
PUNTO DUE:All western economies are introducing age verification laws to safeguard our children. using that excuse more ways to TRACK and TRACE
PUNTO TRE: Climate change thew environment fossil fuels bad green and clean . This is all the messaging we get in the west. Then why is are western economies so dependent on mass consumption and consumer obsolescence.Further more AI centers are requiring more energy and water to run denying we the plebes water and energy to thrive but Climate change global warming environment.
PUNTO QUATRO: Largest extraction of wealth upwards far exceeding the Gilded age . western purchasing power parody at historical lows
PUNTO CINQUE: Why is Israel in the news stream in a negative way for the very first time in my lifetime when anglon -zionist control the whole media blogosphere. In my youth the only way I could get any negative Israel coverage was in the various pan arabic news sites. Now its being shown in total public view of the carnage the Isarelis are doing in west asia.
POST SCRIPTUM; Nothing is a coincidence COVID psy-op should have awakened more people but obviously not .
DOCIUS IN FONDO;WE the plebs sit back and argue amongst our selves problem reaction solution straight out of Hegel. We the plebs always get played while the bankers get their intended outcome Universal basic income we will own nothing and forced to be happy hive mind and apreti cielo the New World Order of the 15 minute city and the Panopticon that is awaiting our children/s future.

Elena
Elena
Mar 19, 2026 1:09 PM
Reply to  askn4amico

Excellent comment. Unable to vote for it, as apparently the comment is my own 🙂

Johnny
Johnny
Mar 18, 2026 11:26 PM

Before the war on Iran, before the Gaza genocide, before the Ukraine war, before the $camdemic, before tRump, (Did I miss any?), we had the Occupy Movement.

Remember those days? When a small, but passionate group of people were awake to the MASSIVE exploitation of the masses by the $uiturd$.
Lots of protests, banners, sit ins, yelling, police violence and vandalism against the Corparasites.

Do you ever get the feeling we’ve been under their heavy Iron Heel since then?

Mustn’t let the plebs do that again.
Feed em fear and stomp on any uprisings.
Mission accomplished.

Lionel Mandrake
Lionel Mandrake
Mar 18, 2026 11:18 PM

And back in the States across the pond, controlled by the Israeli State across the pond, we are finally beginning to see cracks in the fallacy of MAGA….

https://1yfgk.substack.com/p/mds

les online
les online
Mar 18, 2026 11:13 PM

O Ye of Little Faith !! Cant you see, all is going according to The Plan;
you not knowing who to believe or what to believe is part of The Plan…
…….
What a weird site Off G is ! I press to down-vote a comment and i’m told
i cant vote for myself ! Why would i downvote myself, explain that !!

Erik Nielsen.
Erik Nielsen.
Mar 19, 2026 4:18 PM
Reply to  les online

Because you have different ID’s. Schizophrenic persons have that and they dont know it themselves.
Have you considered asking a shrink about it, because I cant answer these kind of questions, and I dont know whether this forum have these professional kind of people here.
Here on the commenter pages are a lot of pedagogies. I am not sure they are into the in these times ID confusion problem,

Lost in a dark wood
Lost in a dark wood
Mar 18, 2026 11:12 PM

Unfortunately, if there ARE mines, the US Navy is in no position to do anything about them, since they decommissioned their four minesweeper ships in September, and then sailed them out of the area in January.

They’ve upgraded the technology. It might be somewhat untested, but the US definitely has some minesweeping capacity.

https://www.navytimes.com/news/your-navy/2026/03/16/the-us-has-several-options-to-counter-iranian-mines-these-are-some-key-assets
The US has several options to counter Iranian mines. These are some key assets.
Mar 16, 2026

Erik Nielsen.
Erik Nielsen.
Mar 18, 2026 11:11 PM

The fact is that Iran is blackmailing the whole world, if we dont bend over and dont do as they are saying. This is the facts!

Last time the Moslems kicked out two white teeth of America’s mouth when they did the 9/11 thing.
Today the Moslems think they can do whatever they want, and we Americans will just bend over. But this kind thinking is far from the real truth.

The truth is that we have been playing nice guys for too long, and now is the time to show the world that you cant just kick an American down the road as you can with a tin can.

As Hilarious Clinton said: Why did we invested in all these nukes in a depot if we are not using them? Why???
We didnt build nukes for nothing, but to defend America against our enemies and to defend our Constitution!

America is suffocating slowly, our culture is going down, and Iran is laughing their arseholes off all the way to the bank. Gasoline is now up 50% from $70 to $100-110  😰  .
I am outraged that nobody are doing anything but talking about IT problems! https://oilprice.com/oil-price-charts/#Brent-Crude

Stooge
Stooge
Mar 19, 2026 1:31 AM
Reply to  Erik Nielsen.

Good for them. More power to them.

Thom
Thom
Mar 18, 2026 11:04 PM

I guess the Strait of Hormuz is open in the way the Atlantic was ‘open’ during WWII – bring your own lifejacket. Also, there are definitely some other actors involved in Iran conflict, so even if Iran said the Strait wasn’t mined, other forces might have done so – a lot of those drone attacks on Dubai look like false flags, possibly as provocation or for economic reasons by rivals.

Munk
Munk
Mar 19, 2026 1:40 AM
Reply to  Thom

I say, give the contract to transport/smuggle oil through the Strait of Hormuz to the Somali pirates… I’m sure they’d appreciate the work.
As I understand the U.S mafia and Israeli pirates have been siphoning Syrian oil since Assad was driven into exile.

George Mc
George Mc
Mar 18, 2026 9:42 PM

Miri on the latest deadly bug franchise: The Meningitis Monster, which followed the now familiar pattern of a drill that just so happened to coincide with something “real” that came along later:

https://miri.substack.com/p/meningitis-b-movie

The hook with this latest is that it inverts covid which was primed to slay the elderly. The new one slaughters the kids. Scary stuff!

And it’s reassuring to see such familiar tactics as the symptom which could so easily happen in mass formation for trivial reasons:

And guess what? The supposed symptoms of the current “meningitis outbreak” just so happen to be nearly indistinguishable from a hangover.

In the same way that “covid” symptoms were indistinguishable from a cold, by equating the “symptoms” of a supposed deadly disease with a benign condition that affects thousands of healthy people every day (especially at a university), you successfully maximise panic and terror in the target population.

Marfanoid
Marfanoid
Mar 18, 2026 10:28 PM
Reply to  George Mc

Think the message is do not go to nightclubs or you will die.

Erik Nielsen.
Erik Nielsen.
Mar 19, 2026 4:25 PM
Reply to  Marfanoid

Then we have no more to live for. What else is there to live for if we men cant see a strip-tease show once in a while?

Thom
Thom
Mar 18, 2026 10:53 PM
Reply to  George Mc

And queues of young people waiting for jabs that are probably no more effective than taking an aspirin against meningitis, which isn’t meaningfully contagious in the first place.

Erik Nielsen.
Erik Nielsen.
Mar 19, 2026 4:23 PM
Reply to  George Mc

Ebola, Zika, Covid, Meningitis, The Flue, whatever. The sheeple never gets tired of taking the jabs.comment image

les online
les online
Mar 18, 2026 9:17 PM

The Australian PM has put the country in a pickle. Australia can expect
US help defend itself when attacked by invoking The ANZAS Treaty…
The PM has refused to send some of our tiny navy to help Trump kick
the ‘ranians out of The Dire Strait of Hormuz. If the Chicoms noticed and
decide they’ve a good chance of taking over Australia, then the US might
reciprocate by not providing warships to help Australia…

Jamie Turner Blanco
Jamie Turner Blanco
Mar 18, 2026 9:11 PM

It is pure Wag the Dog

Veri Tas
Veri Tas
Mar 18, 2026 9:05 PM

If both the governments involved in this war say there aren’t any mines, who is saying there ARE mines? And why?
Who is overruling both the Pentagon and the Iranian Foreign Ministry? And why are the vast majority of the press accepting their word?

Meanwhile, Iran is offering safe passage through the Strait to selected ships….

I have a sneaking suspicion that the Why of this is to justify making fuel and therefore shipping food across the world more expensive (food shortages coming up? Famine in poorer regions of the world?). Also, to lead us back into partial lockdowns or restrictive travel mode. To save fuel.

However, if everyone only knew that only about 20% of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) passes through the Strait of Hormuz, then this would mean that 80% of fuel and other essentials are moved using alternative routes.

So, no need to panic, surely. But, as they say in politics, never let a good crisis go to waste, even if it’s all made up!

Observe
Observe
Mar 18, 2026 8:53 PM

It’s reasonable to note that some players have less incentive to resolve this quickly. Trump himself wrote on social media that higher oil prices are a positive. US shale producers are enjoying a windfall.

Iran has reasons to ensure some Hormuz operation – it needs oil money and has continued shipping millions of barrels to China during the conflict.

Supply chain planning and forecasting – “this will have lasting effects” – don’t seem that unusual in the circumstances and headlines are always going to be simplistic and attention grabbing.

The contradictory messaging is more interesting from a ‘conspiracy’ perspective, though I’m not convinced it means a ‘wag the dog’ scenario. The messaging <em>is</em> confusing, and there’s a question about whether the US adequately prepared for this action. Allies, on the face of it, were opposed to the war; so whether that’s US policy/strategy failure, or conspiracy… Isn’t this exactly the confusion the public is meant to have; wider conspiracy or not?

What is not in doubt is that transnational capital interests will not be fazed by any outcome on a sliding scale from: ‘all our objectives and best-case scenarios have come to fruition’ – to; ‘well it didn’t work out in quite the way we planned but we gained significant wealth and further confused and put fear into the plebs = greater control and entrenching of our power’. As long as any outcome does not challenge their power dominance; WIN WIN.

All of this scale is a conspiracy of sorts, and the fog of war is thick. Whether it’s all scripted to the nth degree, or there are strategic aims with sliding benefits, depends on how much you believe in the levels of the conspiracy theories out there.

Observe
Observe
Mar 18, 2026 8:57 PM
Reply to  Observe

Accidental quote use. Probably from trying everything to get a comment to work!

For what it’s worth, Admin: No matter what I tried on mobile – from different browsers to alternative connections – it was ‘Nonce Error’ 99.9% of the time. As soon as I was able to use laptop it worked first time for me. Probably no help.. but just in case.

Republicofscotland
Republicofscotland
Mar 18, 2026 8:47 PM

Never mind Where’s Wally we know where Netanyahu is.

“Netanyahu is certainly dead on March 9, his son observed 7 days of shiva then resumed posting exactly 7 days later.”

Johnny
Johnny
Mar 18, 2026 9:54 PM

Or laying on a lounge at Mar a Lago, sipping a Bloody _ _ _ _

Johnny
Johnny
Mar 18, 2026 8:46 PM

Let’s get it STRAIT.

The 1% are winning the war.
They always do.

Lionel Mandrake
Lionel Mandrake
Mar 18, 2026 11:11 PM
Reply to  Johnny

That’s because the 1% control what the 99% see, hear and read.

les online
les online
Mar 18, 2026 8:41 PM

Price of a pint at my local went up on Monday. My rent was increased
on Wednesday. As neither have been immediately affected by the
price of oil, they seem to be future proofing against such – though that
still doesnt explain the rent increase. Must be a load of rich migrants
about to arrive, and they;ve the money to pay higher rent ?

George Mc
George Mc
Mar 18, 2026 7:05 PM

There is something extra weird about this latest media show. The entire Iran fixated narrative had a blasé and almost apathetic appearance without even any attempt at a Nayirah testimony type scam to whip up the public. No babies ripped out of incubators. Just a generalised stereotypical mass murder regime vibe. The rulers no longer seem to think they have to make an effort. Any minimal braindead meme generation will do. 

Is this what happens when an order have too much power and can piddle out any drivel they want? And I’m sure they’ll keep it going. Perhaps eventually the newsreaders themselves will yawn as they deliver the endlessly recirculating indifferently pasted riffs. 

EyeSpy
EyeSpy
Mar 18, 2026 6:43 PM

It’s pretty clear if you ask me that this is all theatre just to push agenda 2030. Iran is in on it too, I expect the last global leaders to defy the globalists were Saddam and Gadaffi, and perhaps some of those that were assassinated during covid, the rest are just controlled opposition.

red lester
red lester
Mar 18, 2026 9:17 PM
Reply to  EyeSpy

I would upvote this, but the server says I AM you???

Never a dull moment..

EyeSpy
EyeSpy
Mar 19, 2026 8:52 AM
Reply to  red lester

Imposter!

KiwiJoker
KiwiJoker
Mar 18, 2026 6:43 PM

What comes next is wonderful:

  • Decentralisation due to collapse of global governance structures
  • Smaller farms requiring minimal mechanisation and artificial fertilisers
  • Localisation of food production requiring minimal transportation
  • Communities helping each other prosper sustainably
  • Recalibration of the debt system away from fiat currency
  • A simplification of human existence
  • The energy systems such as those developed from Viktor Schauberger’s work becoming commonplace…

Loveliness

EyeSpy
EyeSpy
Mar 18, 2026 6:47 PM
Reply to  KiwiJoker

Or a one world government, the NWO and the digital panopticon. Don’t get me wrong I believe the things you propose will come eventually, but I expect it will get a lot worse before it gets better

Pilgrim Shadow
Pilgrim Shadow
Mar 18, 2026 6:48 PM
Reply to  KiwiJoker

“And then he woke up.”

les online
les online
Mar 18, 2026 8:48 PM
Reply to  KiwiJoker
  • No central government allowed the proliferation of warlords – aka

local protection / extortion orgs…

How Dare You?
How Dare You?
Mar 18, 2026 9:07 PM
Reply to  les online

New warlords can be good.

Lionel Mandrake
Lionel Mandrake
Mar 18, 2026 11:13 PM
Reply to  KiwiJoker

Pray you are right. Luddites unite!

Republicofscotland
Republicofscotland
Mar 18, 2026 6:40 PM

Iran doesn’t need to mine the Straits of Hormuz, it has hypersonic missiles – ask yourself why there not a US naval warship within 700 miles of the straits – Trump knows fine well that any US navy ship stupid enough to try and escort targeted oil tankers through the straits, will end up at the bottom of them.

There were reports that one of the US aircraft carriers ( I can’t recall which one) had a laundry fire, at first it looked like a cover up on a strike by a missile, now the story is that the crew started the fire – because they’ve been at sea so long they want to go home, they’ve missed weddings, funerals, child births etc, but that has been denied to them, and they will have the unenviable record in the coming weeks – of being the longest US aircraft carrier at sea, post WWII.

les online
les online
Mar 18, 2026 8:54 PM

How will they handle A Real War ? Or a long War of Attrition which
is on the books for the USrail war against Iran ?

Elvira - Admin4
Admin
Elvira - Admin4
Mar 18, 2026 6:17 PM

testing

denizen
denizen
Mar 18, 2026 8:54 PM

I had issues trying to access the site.

Stooge
Stooge
Mar 18, 2026 5:04 PM

They have announced proudly and loudly that US troops are going to invade Iranian islands. That they are invading at all is questionable. But that they telegraph it so far ahead of time. I think that that ties directly in with this whole fishiness thesis.

EyeSpy
EyeSpy
Mar 18, 2026 6:50 PM
Reply to  Stooge

Most likely just fearmongering propaganda, like how the psyop in Ukraine was going to go nuclear and turn into WW3. They got what they wanted out of the Ukraine psyop and they are getting what they want out of the Iran one too. The threats of escalation will continue for as long as people keep believing them

Stooge
Stooge
Mar 18, 2026 4:58 PM

Is Israel being bombed? How badly? I think that is a more important question than the reasons for the closing of the strait.

Richard Aston
Richard Aston
Mar 18, 2026 8:33 PM
Reply to  Stooge

“As of mid-March 2026, Israel is under regular missile and drone attacks from Iran and its allies, with daily alarms sounding in various parts of the country. While Israeli air defenses intercept most projectiles, some impacts—including cluster bombs—have caused fatalities and damage, particularly in central Israel and near Jerusalem. ”
The Guardian

Stooge
Stooge
Mar 18, 2026 9:34 PM
Reply to  Richard Aston

Sounds minor. I kind of doubt their air defenses are intercepting most projectiles. But it’s good to see that even those liars have to admit that some are getting through. Hope they hit hospitals, old folks homes, and nurseries.

This is not an impolite remark, and so try not to engage your itchy censor finger. It is a realistic remark. Note:. Israel hits hospitals, old folks homes, and nurseries. Ergo: An eye for an eye and a tooth for a tooth.